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Red84
255049.6
411029.6
135920.8
Blue92
154052.3
157117.4
281144.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9594501502008492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.5
46.145.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
52.30.2
45.345.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4110
#11
29.60.5
22.922.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
44.60.2
41.040.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1359
#25
20.80.5
24.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
17.40.2
9.59.3
Auto
Teleop
End