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Red157
95556.8
40439.0
252149.3
Blue137
319225.3
255049.6
154052.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101126050150200250300350157137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#3
56.82.6
51.554.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
52.30.8
50.351.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.32.6
46.549.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
49.60.8
47.348.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4043
#29
9.02.6
6.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
3192
#18
25.30.8
24.124.9
Auto
Teleop
End