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Red155
281137.4
466222.3
247157.5
Blue98
252137.1
241135.8
95635.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169305015020025030015598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.50.7
56.056.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
2521
#11
37.10.0
33.133.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.40.7
35.836.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2411
#20
35.80.0
31.831.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4662
#27
22.30.7
20.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
956
#13
35.30.0
31.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End