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Red137
313133.2
367436.7
151018.8
Blue101
299035.8
508524.1
405730.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9086050150200250137101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.8
37.037.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2990
#12
35.80.2
34.634.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.20.8
33.434.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
4057
#16
30.00.2
28.829.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1510
#26
18.80.8
19.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
24.10.2
22.923.2
Auto
Teleop
End