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Red125
367436.7
95726.0
263535.6
Blue39
508524.1
413218.6
313133.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6644010015012539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.73.5
19.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
33.20.5
21.420.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2635
#21
35.63.1
27.230.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
24.119.8
33.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
957
#22
26.05.2
15.420.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
4132
#19
18.60.4
11.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End