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Red152
281137.4
142553.0
252137.1
Blue108
367436.7
254215.0
405730.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89480100150200152108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.03.5
44.648.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
36.72.7
27.930.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.43.5
20.123.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
4057
#16
30.02.7
16.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2521
#11
37.15.8
17.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
2542
#24
15.02.7
9.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End