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Red180
508524.1
448868.3
367436.7
Blue127
405120.6
313133.2
411017.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127400100150200250180127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.33.3
60.263.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.1
33.23.7
24.328.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.73.3
31.935.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
4051
#14
20.63.7
17.921.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
24.15.6
20.926.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
4110
#25
17.16.1
11.617.7
Auto
Teleop
End