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Red45
411017.1
367436.7
241135.8
Blue129
142553.0
263535.6
299035.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311405010015020025045129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.7
35.333.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.3
53.01.0
48.349.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2411
#20
35.81.7
26.324.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2990
#12
35.81.0
30.131.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4110
#25
17.12.7
17.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
2635
#21
35.61.0
29.730.7
Auto
Teleop
End