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Red62
200226.5
263535.6
413218.6
Blue63
252137.1
273318.5
151018.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725801001502002506263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#21
35.60.4
30.730.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2521
#11
37.10.2
24.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2002
#23
26.50.4
24.924.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
1510
#26
18.80.2
21.721.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4132
#19
18.60.4
14.013.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2733
#17
18.50.2
13.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End