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Red22
151018.8
254215.0
413218.6
Blue97
466222.3
405120.6
299035.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345501001502002297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1510
#26
18.80.8
17.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.0
2990
#12
35.82.3
21.924.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4132
#19
18.60.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4662
#27
22.33.8
20.324.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2542
#24
15.00.8
8.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4051
#14
20.62.3
9.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End