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Red40
143210.9
273318.5
247157.5
Blue48
252137.1
363621.3
154038.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions914701502004048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.52.2
51.148.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
1540
#10
38.10.3
28.628.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2733
#17
18.52.2
16.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.6
2521
#11
37.10.5
18.317.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1432
#30
10.93.7
17.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
21.30.3
7.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End