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Red40
171225.9
51813.2
70829.2
Blue11
31676.9
149520.6
46376.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564401001502004011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
708
#20
29.21.1
23.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
1495
#21
20.62.9
21.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#17
25.91.1
21.520.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
3167
#35
6.92.9
9.66.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5181
#30
3.21.1
8.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
4637
#37
6.72.9
13.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End