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Red46
171225.9
164035.5
46376.7
Blue56
31676.9
17917.3
83423.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68280501001502004656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#19
35.51.3
35.734.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
834
#10
23.11.8
22.524.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#17
25.91.3
20.018.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
1791
#22
7.31.8
4.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4637
#37
6.71.3
6.04.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3167
#35
6.91.8
6.98.8
Auto
Teleop
End