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Red163
164747.3
412810.7
35734.1
Blue182
259070.0
27219.2
149520.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6397050150200250163182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.36.3
39.846.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.7
70.06.0
62.968.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
#5
34.16.3
27.333.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
1495
#21
20.66.0
14.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4128
#36
10.76.3
1.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
272
#23
19.26.0
13.819.8
Auto
Teleop
End