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Red100
48635.6
70912.9
139119.5
Blue139
164747.3
223423.5
2528.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581110150200250100139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#2
35.60.6
35.035.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
47.30.6
48.649.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1391
#14
19.50.6
18.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
25
#16
28.30.6
29.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
709
#34
12.90.6
12.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
2234
#15
23.50.6
24.825.4
Auto
Teleop
End