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Red141
22551.7
31642.9
149521.8
Blue116
121856.7
253914.8
35740.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161120200300400141116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#6
51.70.4
51.351.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
56.70.1
56.656.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
316
#22
42.90.4
42.542.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
357
#8
40.90.1
40.940.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1495
#20
21.80.4
21.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2539
#27
14.80.1
14.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End