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Red68
201635.0
36535.6
223426.4
Blue122
31642.9
22551.7
149521.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411805015020068122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#21
35.60.5
36.035.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
225
#6
51.70.1
51.051.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.00.5
35.434.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
316
#22
42.90.1
42.342.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2234
#33
26.40.5
26.826.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1495
#20
21.80.1
21.121.3
Auto
Teleop
End