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Red82
201635.0
223426.4
36535.6
Blue116
31642.9
149521.8
22551.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411605015020025082116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#21
35.60.3
35.835.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
225
#6
51.70.1
50.550.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.00.3
35.235.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
316
#22
42.90.1
41.841.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2234
#33
26.40.3
26.626.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1495
#20
21.80.1
20.620.7
Auto
Teleop
End