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Red108
121856.7
201635.0
253914.8
Blue27
1136.9
51817.7
392924.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9059010015020010827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.71.2
43.544.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
11
#11
36.91.8
34.332.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.01.2
27.829.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
3929
#17
24.13.1
23.920.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2539
#27
14.81.2
13.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
5181
#23
7.71.8
5.84.0
Auto
Teleop
End