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Red101
437327.7
20422.2
31642.9
Blue191
43330.5
22255.9
29337.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78119050100150200101191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#22
42.91.4
40.041.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
222
#3
55.93.9
55.459.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4373
#10
27.70.8
21.122.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
293
#31
37.56.5
32.639.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
204
#16
22.21.4
23.524.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
433
#9
30.53.9
24.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End