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Red23
51817.7
29337.5
5655.8
Blue111
171230.1
48652.7
149521.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9510205015020023111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#5
55.83.7
50.546.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
486
#7
52.70.5
49.249.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
#31
37.55.7
39.233.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1712
#13
30.10.5
29.630.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5181
#23
7.73.7
6.83.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
1495
#20
21.80.5
22.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End