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Red156
223426.4
48652.7
29337.5
Blue172
35740.9
20422.2
121856.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11296050150200250300156172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#7
52.72.3
49.752.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
56.73.7
46.349.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
#31
37.53.4
33.436.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
357
#8
40.93.7
31.234.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2234
#33
26.42.3
26.428.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
204
#16
22.25.3
21.026.4
Auto
Teleop
End