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Red150
22551.7
51817.7
121856.7
Blue126
445416.8
30438.2
48430.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11072050150200250300150126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.72.3
49.952.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
304
#1
38.22.4
34.536.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
#6
51.73.1
49.052.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.7
484
#30
30.13.2
27.931.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5181
#23
7.72.3
4.97.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
4454
#32
16.83.2
15.218.5
Auto
Teleop
End