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Red105
48652.7
4239.8
36535.6
Blue117
35740.9
149521.8
201635.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10384050150200250105117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#7
52.70.3
52.052.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
357
#8
40.91.5
36.738.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
#21
35.60.3
37.738.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
35.01.5
27.028.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
423
#26
9.80.3
10.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
1495
#20
21.81.5
23.024.5
Auto
Teleop
End