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Red106
454725.3
326064.4
83678.6
Blue111
150155.9
264148.1
415019.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177114050150200250300350106111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#7
78.61.0
78.477.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
1501
#31
55.90.2
56.055.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
64.41.0
64.163.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
48.10.2
48.248.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4547
#32
25.31.1
25.023.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
4150
#25
19.60.2
19.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End