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Red11
39577.5
475317.6
451416.7
Blue71
499125.1
402715.4
253430.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46510204060801001201171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4753
#36
17.63.0
17.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
2534
#24
30.31.8
19.621.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4514
#16
16.73.0
17.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
4991
#14
25.11.8
12.814.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3957
#47
7.53.0
12.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
4027
#26
15.41.8
17.619.4
Auto
Teleop
End