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Red117
150350.2
426631.0
446742.3
Blue156
350443.2
121870.1
264148.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101141050200250117156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
#23
50.20.5
49.049.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
70.11.1
60.061.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4467
#13
42.30.5
29.429.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
48.11.1
37.638.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4266
#19
31.00.8
28.929.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
43.21.1
37.438.4
Auto
Teleop
End