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Red6
35676.2
205114.5
150350.2
Blue117
403218.6
446742.3
499125.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815001001502006117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
#23
50.23.5
49.546.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
4467
#13
42.33.1
29.933.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2051
#40
14.55.8
12.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
4991
#14
25.15.2
14.519.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3567
#48
6.25.8
14.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
4032
#27
18.65.2
10.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End