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Red90
451416.7
306211.1
405041.5
Blue56
395522.5
15619.8
326064.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions468301001502002509056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#11
41.53.2
17.720.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.9
64.41.2
37.536.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4514
#16
16.73.2
18.221.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3955
#42
22.51.8
17.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3062
#43
11.13.2
15.618.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
156
#44
19.81.8
22.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End