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Red102
402715.4
319340.7
403118.1
Blue101
404938.4
170834.7
35676.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7679204060100120140160102101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.1
42.043.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4049
#12
38.42.1
39.241.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4031
#37
18.11.9
20.622.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
1708
#15
34.71.2
28.730.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4027
#26
15.41.9
16.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
3567
#48
6.22.1
8.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End