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Qual 492014 Greater Pittsburgh Regional
Red171
285254.5
253430.3
326064.4
Blue145
446742.3
150155.9
202827.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421240100200300400500171145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#5
64.41.6
58.3→59.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.5
1501
#31
55.90.9
61.5→62.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2852
#3
54.51.6
50.8→52.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.2
4467
#13
42.30.9
37.1→38.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2534
#24
30.32.7
29.8→32.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
2028
#38
27.50.9
28.1→29.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—