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Red105
202827.5
404938.4
448434.3
Blue16
29113.9
39628.1
30622.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10739015020025010516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4049
#12
38.40.5
38.839.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
306
#17
22.41.7
24.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4484
#22
34.30.5
30.531.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.3
291
#33
13.91.7
15.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2028
#38
27.50.4
27.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
3962
#45
8.12.1
10.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End