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Red138
129429.8
339367.6
448882.5
Blue180
131878.7
290756.8
198343.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18417750100150200250300350138180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.50.7
83.482.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
78.70.0
78.378.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67.60.7
68.667.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
2907
#51
56.80.0
56.456.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1294
#27
29.80.7
30.730.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
1983
#34
43.60.0
43.243.2
Auto
Teleop
End