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Red115
358855.2
455933.1
292858.2
Blue138
241246.4
159555.0
381255.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411650100200300400115138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.5
57.757.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
55.70.4
57.256.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3588
#11
55.20.5
54.754.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
55.00.4
56.556.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4559
#43
33.10.5
32.532.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
2412
#36
46.40.4
47.947.5
Auto
Teleop
End