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Red122
263528.9
366343.3
403822.6
Blue116
407759.3
321930.5
323846.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951420200300400122116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#24
43.31.0
45.946.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
4077
#21
59.31.0
57.957.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2635
#48
28.91.0
35.236.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.5
3238
#42
46.51.0
42.541.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4038
#61
22.61.0
21.722.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
3219
#20
30.51.0
34.733.8
Auto
Teleop
End