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Red140
407759.3
241125.6
412734.7
Blue62
99748.3
413119.8
292321.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1297805010015020025030014062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4077
#21
59.30.9
59.860.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
997
#10
48.31.2
44.343.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4127
#19
34.70.9
25.826.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
2923
#62
21.51.2
21.620.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2411
#57
25.60.9
35.836.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
4131
#58
19.81.2
19.718.5
Auto
Teleop
End