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Red184
412541.4
49241.5
358855.2
Blue207
407759.3
48860.5
508533.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321440100200300400184207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#11
55.22.5
53.956.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
488
#7
60.53.2
55.859.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
#9
41.52.5
39.542.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
4077
#21
59.33.2
57.060.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4125
#29
41.42.5
40.743.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
5085
#55
33.13.2
29.632.8
Auto
Teleop
End