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Red145
307040.5
204650.5
378927.3
Blue34
154051.4
263528.9
142546.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10515005020025030035040014534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#45
50.51.6
47.148.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1540
#39
51.45.4
55.149.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3070
#60
40.51.6
40.341.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
1425
#59
46.25.4
51.646.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3789
#32
27.31.6
24.626.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2635
#48
28.95.4
36.130.7
Auto
Teleop
End