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Red173
198343.6
339367.6
511124.4
Blue147
407759.3
159555.0
357443.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261680100200300400173147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.62.0
68.270.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
4077
#21
59.30.7
60.259.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1983
#34
43.62.0
42.144.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
55.00.7
57.356.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5111
#33
24.42.0
22.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
3574
#50
43.60.7
44.343.6
Auto
Teleop
End