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Red148
412541.4
292858.2
131878.7
Blue123
366343.3
491167.6
95642.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189153050100250300350400148123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.71.8
81.079.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
67.61.8
69.667.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58.21.8
59.557.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.9
3663
#24
43.31.8
45.143.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4125
#29
41.41.8
43.241.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
956
#31
42.01.8
43.741.9
Auto
Teleop
End