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Red100
281138.5
445717.3
448882.5
Blue72
292729.3
154051.4
290314.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1399605020025030010072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.6
67.065.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
1540
#39
51.41.5
52.751.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2811
#14
38.51.6
42.140.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
2927
#25
29.31.5
32.731.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4457
#37
17.31.6
23.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
2903
#63
14.91.5
17.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End