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Red145
241125.6
339367.6
454243.8
Blue121
129429.8
358855.2
94840.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124131050100150200250145121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.61.0
63.464.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
3588
#11
55.20.4
54.954.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4542
#15
43.81.0
24.925.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
948
#23
40.00.4
44.243.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2411
#57
25.61.0
36.737.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1294
#27
29.80.4
30.630.2
Auto
Teleop
End