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Red145
99748.3
381255.7
407759.3
Blue143
321930.5
412026.3
367441.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15870050100200250300350145143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4077
#21
59.30.0
60.860.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
3674
#54
41.52.9
35.138.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.70.0
40.940.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.2
3219
#20
30.52.9
26.829.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
997
#10
48.30.0
43.143.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.0
4120
#30
26.32.9
22.125.1
Auto
Teleop
End