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Red151
281138.5
455933.1
263528.9
Blue131
454243.8
406159.8
445717.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104114050150200250300151131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#14
38.52.3
40.542.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.3
4061
#41
59.80.9
65.065.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4559
#43
33.12.3
30.132.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
4542
#15
43.80.9
25.926.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2635
#48
28.92.3
35.237.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
4457
#37
17.30.9
21.822.7
Auto
Teleop
End