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Red105
321930.5
214942.8
413119.8
Blue101
255753.3
241246.4
412541.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75160050100200250300105101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2149
#40
42.80.8
40.040.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
2557
#16
53.32.3
50.748.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3219
#20
30.50.8
29.730.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.9
2412
#36
46.42.3
49.847.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4131
#58
19.80.8
18.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.6
4125
#29
41.42.3
46.444.1
Auto
Teleop
End