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Red235
491841.7
323846.5
131878.7
Blue126
204650.5
406159.8
367441.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16215650100200250300235126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.73.7
75.679.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.9
4061
#41
59.81.6
65.964.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3238
#42
46.53.7
39.443.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
2046
#45
50.51.6
50.148.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4918
#47
41.73.7
46.550.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3674
#54
41.51.6
41.039.5
Auto
Teleop
End