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Red67
48860.5
498032.1
292321.5
Blue240
94840.0
448882.5
252146.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8916405020025030035067240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#7
60.51.7
53.852.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.0
82.54.4
68.372.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4980
#26
32.11.7
27.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
2521
#28
46.44.4
42.747.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2923
#62
21.51.7
19.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.5
948
#23
40.04.4
41.445.8
Auto
Teleop
End