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Red165
298014.3
255753.3
357443.6
Blue48
455933.1
313125.6
366343.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8510905015020025030035040016548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#16
53.33.8
48.452.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
3663
#24
43.32.9
44.841.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3574
#50
43.63.8
29.833.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
4559
#43
33.12.9
32.429.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2980
#49
14.33.8
10.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
3131
#22
25.62.9
28.225.4
Auto
Teleop
End