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Red237
491167.6
159555.0
129429.8
Blue118
255753.3
455933.1
378927.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14694050200250300350237118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.64.9
62.767.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
2557
#16
53.30.8
52.253.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
55.04.9
47.452.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
4559
#43
33.10.8
29.530.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1294
#27
29.84.9
28.133.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3789
#32
27.30.8
20.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End