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Red84
49241.5
241125.6
95558.0
Blue201
131878.7
159555.0
445717.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12116105010020025030035040084201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#12
58.02.2
58.556.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.7
78.72.3
81.784.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
#9
41.52.2
37.535.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
55.02.3
52.354.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2411
#57
25.62.2
31.229.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
4457
#37
17.32.3
20.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End